Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 55.945695 63.812524 71.933309 80.908990 90.518897 100.468723 111.518638
2025-04-13 42.534898 53.459652 65.346226 79.099640 94.441586 110.908057 129.798730
2025-04-20 37.220764 50.134081 64.704161 82.074263 101.951607 123.748617 149.225765
2025-04-27 32.689323 46.947864 63.572293 83.911173 107.687688 134.218496 165.690550
2025-05-04 27.886252 42.809739 60.797286 83.365304 110.283988 140.805839 177.497491
2025-05-11 23.777964 39.051188 58.073838 82.518071 112.220155 146.386736 187.945546
2025-05-18 20.966991 36.646756 56.760510 83.148823 115.719340 153.635058 200.197870
2025-05-25 18.106765 33.862693 54.716144 82.662410 117.699645 158.966526 210.115755
2025-06-01 15.934175 31.801354 53.426417 82.969755 120.525208 165.209747 221.036246
2025-06-08 13.597902 29.241839 51.272503 82.002079 121.639977 169.302281 229.335343
2025-06-15 12.281502 28.081316 50.922611 83.300445 125.529792 176.710169 241.563342
2025-06-22 11.154432 27.094141 50.727229 84.737193 129.550153 184.252666 253.945721
2025-06-29 9.520836 25.111898 49.015425 84.088759 130.901006 188.556034 262.502982
2025-07-06 7.721643 22.595247 46.347460 81.999770 130.289700 190.364877 267.990859
2025-07-13 7.341563 22.592984 47.420687 85.076102 136.416614 200.571632 283.740556
2025-07-20 6.729102 22.073838 47.655589 86.946509 140.942014 208.772478 297.046293
2025-07-27 5.684644 20.554078 46.231882 86.389898 142.196116 212.820865 305.224279
2025-08-03 4.711577 19.007315 44.652920 85.524340 142.973632 216.221938 312.572731
2025-08-10 4.107756 18.156919 44.143131 86.168657 145.756534 222.160155 323.065357
2025-08-17 3.399743 16.920605 42.902784 85.671801 146.943512 226.026889 330.960855
2025-08-24 2.890143 16.058414 42.235813 85.985745 149.211420 231.268192 340.570574
2025-08-31 2.286419 14.782931 40.753005 84.997258 149.632408 234.088312 347.119387
2025-09-07 2.013746 14.377779 40.794332 86.323525 153.264404 241.082291 358.938201